There are more and more reports coming out of the Middle
East of both Syria and IS using improvised chemical munitions. These devices
have generally used industrial chemicals (typically chlorine gas) rather than
military grade chemical munitions (chlorine was used as the original chemical
weapon, but it has long ceased to be considered an effective military grade
chemical weapon). There is a brief summary
article here that hits some of the high points and recent a New York Times article
shows how easy these weapons are to make.
While there is a VERY outside possibility that some of these
actual weapons will be sent to the United States, the much higher concern is
that the development of very rudimentary weapons point to the fact that they
could very easily be made in the United States by anyone with a moderately equipped
home workshop. It would be very unusual for IS not to export the knowledge of
how to make these weapons.
These are very definitely tactical scale terror weapons.
While they do fit the current legal standard for being weapons of mass
destruction (WMD) they should more probably be classified as weapons of mass
hysteria (WMH). The concentration of these industrial gasses necessary to kill
is relatively high and hard to achieve over any substantial area with these
types of weapons. A limited number of people could certainly be killed by these
weapons, but the hysteria resulting from their use would be much more devastating
in both the long run and short run than would be the actual injuries from the
chemicals.
It really is not hard to get your hands on some of the
chemicals of interest that would be used in these devices. The Chemical
Facility Anti-Terrorism Standards (CFATS) program does regulate the security at
some facilities that manufacture, store or use, but not all of them by a long
shot. Small water treatment facilities are exempt from both CFATS and EPA
security programs and they frequently use small cylinders of chlorine gas.
Small agricultural users of anhydrous ammonia are not currently under any
security regulations.
I suspect that we are going to be hearing more about these
types of attacks outside of the current conflict zone in the not too distant
future.
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