I had an interesting phone conversation yesterday with an
individual who helped standup the CFATS program. He wanted to talk about how the
terrorist attack on the Algerian gas production facility was a potential game
changer for chemical facility security managers in the United States. He thinks
that this marks a change in terrorist tactics and points out the vulnerability of
chemical facilities in general.
Lessons for State-Side Chemical Facilities?
While it will be some time before we see any details about
the Algerian attack (and more importantly the counter-attack by Algerian
security forces, more on that later in the post), I’m not sure that this is a
major shift in tactics by radical Islamic terrorist. We have seen attempted
attacks on Saudi production facilities and successful attacks on Nigerian
facilities (though they weren’t really jihadists), so the target wasn’t all that
new. Hostage taking is not a new tactic either, though this is probably the first
at a petro-chemical complex.
While this certainly points out the need for increased
security protection at chemical facilities in North Africa, I’m not sure that
any state-side security manager is going to do much to increase their security
measures based upon the success of this attack. After all, that is in Africa,
not Texas or New Jersey or California. That kind of stuff just doesn’t happen
here (just a small touch of sarcasm).
To be fair, you are just not going to be able to harden a
major petrochemical complex enough to prevent a determined commando-style
assault on the facility. They are just too big, too complex, and too vulnerable
to physical disruption. The only successful way to deal with this type of
attack is to detect it and disrupt it before it gets anywhere near the facility
perimeter. Fortunately, we haven’t seen this style of attack even suggested
here in the United States.
Algerian Response
We have already seen a fair amount of ink (mostly
electronic) spent here in the United States and in Europe complaining about the
number of hostages and terrorists that were killed in the Algerian responses to
this terrorist attack. Until (if) we see any of the details about the methods
and tactics that the security forces used, it is premature to complain about
the results. Rescuing hostages is always a risky business. In the words of John
Ringo; it sucks to be a hostage.
No, I am much more interested in the apparent lack of
significant damage to the production facilities through the initial terrorist attack
and two counter-attacks by security forces. Don’t get me wrong, protecting
human lives is more important that protecting facilities, but in this case the
death toll could have been much higher if the production facilities had received
significant damage. Fires, explosions and toxic chemical releases have a way of
doing that.
Potential Dangers of Counter-Attacks
Military grade small arms fire can easily damage storage
tanks, piping and ancillary equipment enough to cause leaks of flammable and toxic
chemicals. And most people fail to realize that bullets keep going until they
hit something. In the heat of battle few people take any interest in what is in
the line of sight beyond their target when they engage with their weapons. In
areas where there are large volumes of flammable gasses and liquids, this can
have catastrophic consequences.
Even in standard operations there may be areas within the
production facility that see transient periods where flammable-atmosphere
situations exist outside of production vessels. This is why the industry works
so hard to control the use of heat or spark producing equipment in production
areas. In areas where an explosive atmosphere exits, the muzzle flash from a
firearm can certainly set off a catastrophic fuel air explosion.
Why is the Facility Still Standing?
Given all of the potential dangers involved, I am amazed
that the production facility is still standing and any of the people involved
are still alive. I can think of a couple of reasons that this catastrophic
result did not happen;
• The attacks were conducted in administrative
areas separate from the production facilities;
• Special weapons and tactics were
used to avoid collateral damage; or
• They got damned lucky.
When all is said and done I think we will probably find that
it is the first possibility that is responsible for the outcome in this attack.
If not, then I think the press owes a major apology to the Algerian forces; an
armed assault on an actual gas production facility that does not destroy the
facility is a major accomplishment. An attack like that would be studied for
years in military academies around the world, trying to extract all of the
lessons that would guide future combat operations in such environments.
Share the Information
The public will probably never see the details about the
operation that rescued the hostages in this case. Hopefully, however, the US
government will share some of the lessons learned with security managers at
high-risk chemical facilities and the security response forces that would
conduct similar operations here. It is always better to learn the lessons from
someone else’s operation than have to learn them on the fly in your own.
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