It has been a while since I looked at a simple chemical
accident through the eyes of a potential terrorist plotter, but there was an
interesting vehicle accident in Harrisburg, PA last week that pointed out how
easy it would be for a terrorist organization (or even a serious lone wolf) to
utilize something as ubiquitous as a fuel tanker as a terrorist weapon. The
CumberLink.com web site has excellent
coverage of the accident.
The Accident
The accident was routine enough. A diesel fuel tanker
overturned on a freeway off-ramp, leaked and the fuel caught fire. The first
part is common enough, the second not so much and the third relatively rare.
The driver escaped with minor burns and no one else was hurt. But, the fire
kept burning.
Think back to the 9/11 tower collapses in New York City. The
actual attack was simple enough fly an airliner into a building. Presumably the
passengers were killed instantly as were many people in the impacted areas of
the buildings. But what captured the horrified imagination of the world was the
subsequent collapse of the twin towers because the heat of the fire weakened
the metal structure of the buildings.
The same type thing occurred here. The heat from the fire
was hot enough to cause steam ‘explosions’ in the concrete and weaken steel
beams to the point where engineers fear that the overpass could collapse under
its own weight. The overpass is closed as are the freeway lanes underneath
pending demolition.
Fortunately the accident happened at 6:10 a.m.; well before
the morning traffic jam would have put thousands of people in harm’s way.
A Terrorist Attack
So, imagine a terrorist with a hijacked fuel tanker, in rush
hour traffic in a major metropolitan area. Stop the truck with the trailer on a
busy overpass and detonate an IED under the trailer, causing the trailer to
rupture and the spilling fuel to catch fire. Not only would you have the
infrastructure damage seen in Harrisburg, but multiple vehicle fires and
explosions with the resulting chaos, death toll, and visible destruction that
shows so well on the evening news.
That would be well within the skill set of a lone wolf, but
it could be even worse with a terrorist cell. Multiple trucks used to isolate a
section of elevated freeway packed with rush hour traffic. Hundreds of people
trapped between two fireballs and subsequent explosions as car fuel tanks
rupture and add to the destruction, chaos and panic; thousands of YouTube
videos replaying the scene.
Response or
Prevention
We live in a dangerous world and it could get worse. We have
been fortunate that terrorists have not seriously targeted this country. We are
vulnerable at every turn and just because the attacks have not yet happened
does not mean that they cannot. We are not going to be able to prevent all (or
even most) determined attacks so we must begin to consider how we are going to
respond to them.
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